World Cup calculator: What are the permutations in Group B?
The mathematics are not deceiving, but the combinations are multiple - depending not only on the wins, draws and defeats that may occur, but also on the results with their goals conceded and goals scored.
Everything plays a part in ensuring that at the end of the matches we know exactly which two teams will advance to the Round of 16.
The winners of Group B will play Senegal, while the runners-up will face Netherlands.
Group B
Matchday 3: Wales v England, Iran v USA
England
Qualifies if:
-Wins or draws against Wales.
-Loses to Wales by fewer than four goals (or fewer than five if Iran and USA draw).
Their chances of qualifying are 94.90%
Iran
Qualifies if:
-Wins against the United States.
-Draws against the United States and England does not lose to Wales (or if they do, by at least six goals).
Their chances of qualifying are 54.08%
USA
Qualifies if:
-Wins Iran.
Their chances of qualifying are 35.71%
Wales
Qualifies if:
-Wins England by four goals or more.
-Beats England by three goals or less and USA and Iran draw.
Their chances of qualifying are 15.31%